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Moderator: Joseph Cirincione, Director, Non-Proliferation Project
India's Prime Minister, Atal Behari
Vajpayee arrives in Washington on September 13, amidst international fears
that South Asia remains a nuclear tinderbox. According to the outgoing
Indian Chief of Army Staff, "the chances of war are much more than they
were …five years ago."
Indian Prime Minister, Atal Behari Vajpayee reaffirmed that "subject to its supreme national interests" India "will continue its voluntary moratorium until the Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty (CTBT) comes into effect." The joint statement with President Clinton also reiterated that the Indian government would "continue efforts" to create a national consensus on the CTBT, in order to bring the discussions "to a successful conclusion." India also stated its commitment "not to block entry into force of the Treaty." The statement echoed the Prime Minister's assertion in a speech to a joint session of Congress on September 14, that India did not wish to "unravel" Washington's non-proliferation efforts. Mr. Vajpayee has attempted to shift Washington's focus on dangers emanating from South Asia, from non-proliferation to terrorism.
Sea-based national missile defense systems have become the most discussed and least understood of all proposed missile defense projects. Proponents assert that Aegis destroyers and cruisers can quickly and inexpensively provide a highly effective defense.
On August 25, India's Defense Minister authorized production of 300 short-range, nuclear-capable Prithvi missiles. The decision was taken in response to a reported August 15 test by Pakistan of the Ghauri III, an intermediate-range, nuclear-capable ballistic missile.
Syria conducted a successful test of the 600 kilometer-range Scud-D missile on September 23, according to Israeli officials. The Scud-D, which Syria acquired from North Korea, is capable of carrying conventional, nuclear, chemical and biological warheads.
Sea-based national missile defense systems have become the most discussed and least understood of all proposed missile defense projects. Proponents assert that Aegis destroyers and cruisers can quickly and inexpensively provide a highly-effective defense against both intermediate- and intercontinental-range ballistic missiles. In fact, sea-based national defense systems face major technological uncertainties, cannot be deployed for at least a decade and could prove prohibitively expensive.
President Clinton has delayed any decision regarding deployment of national missile defenses (NMD) until the next President takes office.
A new report by three leading nuclear
experts urges more aggressive efforts to reduce the threat of nuclear
instability in Russia. The report's central recommendation is that the
United States immediately and significantly increase the resources devoted
to current efforts to secure and consolidate nuclear weapon materials
in the sprawling Russian nuclear complex.
The Kursk submarine disaster has grabbed world attention, but there is one question no one is asking: Why are these ships going to sea at all?" Jon Wolfsthal of the Carnegie Non-Proliferation Project explores this question in an editorial published in the Christian Science Monitor on August 28, 2000. He argues that "[w]ith the Cold War over, the rationale for keeping such systems at sea is gone, and the risk that the next accident will involve a ship carrying nuclear weapons is unacceptably high."
The Pentagon's top test official says that the Clinton administration's national missile defense system is behind schedule and years from possible deployment.
The Kursk submarine disaster has grabbed world attention, but there's one question no one is asking: Why are these subs at sea at all? The cold war is over - the reason for keeping them at sea is gone, and the risk the next accident will involve a sub carrying nuclear weapons is unacceptably high.
A National Intelligence Estimate (NIE) on the possible implications of the United States deploying National Missile Defenses (NMD) was delivered by the Intelligence Community to President Clinton the week of August 7th, after several months of preparation.
The story of the Russian nuclear submarine sunk at the bottom of the Barents Sea with a 116-man crew is terrifying, but it should not be a surprise, especially to the Russian navy," asserts Carnegie's Alexander Pikayev in a New York Times op-ed dated August 16. As Russia accepts British assistance to rescue the crew of the Russian nuclear submarine Kursk, the plight of the entire Russian Navy has come under the spotlight. The following is an excerpt from "A Navy in Need.
Assessing Current Efforts and Recommendations for Future Action Joint Non-Proliferation Project/RANSAC Event, August 15, 2000
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Acton holds the Jessica T. Mathews Chair and is co-director of the Nuclear Policy Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.
Fiona Cunningham is a nonresident scholar in the Nuclear Policy Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace and was a Stanton Nuclear Security Fellow in 2020-21.
Toby Dalton is a senior fellow and co-director of the Nuclear Policy Program at the Carnegie Endowment. An expert on nonproliferation and nuclear energy, his work addresses regional security challenges and the evolution of the global nuclear order.
Rose Gottemoeller is a nonresident senior fellow in Carnegie’s Nuclear Policy Program. She also serves as lecturer at Stanford University’s Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies and is a research fellow at the Hoover Institution.
Nicole Grajewski is a Fellow in the Nuclear Policy Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. Her research examines Russian and Iranian policies in the global nuclear order, with a particular focus on Russian nuclear strategy, Iran’s nuclear decision-making, contestation in the non-proliferation regime, and nuclear deterrence.
Hibbs is a Germany-based nonresident senior fellow in Carnegie’s Nuclear Policy Program. His areas of expertise are nuclear verification and safeguards, multilateral nuclear trade policy, international nuclear cooperation, and nonproliferation arrangements.
Kassenova is a nonresident fellow in the Nuclear Policy Program at the Carnegie Endowment.
Ulrich Kühn is a nonresident scholar at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, and the head of the arms control and emerging technologies program at the Institute for Peace Research and Security Policy at the University of Hamburg.
Jamie Kwong is a fellow in the Nuclear Policy Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.
Levite was the principal deputy director general for policy at the Israeli Atomic Energy Commission from 2002 to 2007.
Ankit Panda is the Stanton Senior Fellow in the Nuclear Policy Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.
Perkovich works primarily on nuclear strategy and nonproliferation issues; cyberconflict; and new approaches to international public-private management of strategic technologies.
Lindsay Rand is a nonresident scholar in the Nuclear Policy Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace and was a Stanton Nuclear Security Fellow at Carnegie in 2022-2023.
Todd S. Sechser is a nonresident scholar in the Nuclear Policy Program and the Pamela Feinour Edmonds and Franklin S. Edmonds Jr. Discovery professor of politics and public policy at the University of Virginia.
Anne Stickells is a Stanton pre-doctoral fellow in the Nuclear Policy Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.
Dr. Lauren Sukin is a nonresident scholar in the Nuclear Policy Program and an assistant professor of international relations at the London School of Economics and Political Science (LSE).
Ülgen is a senior fellow at Carnegie Europe in Brussels, where his research focuses on Turkish foreign policy, nuclear policy, cyberpolicy, and transatlantic relations.
Tristan Volpe is a nonresident fellow at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace and assistant professor of defense analysis at the Naval Postgraduate School.
Fumihiko Yoshida is a nonresident scholar at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.
Tong Zhao is a senior fellow with the Nuclear Policy Program and Carnegie China.
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